West Brom will surely have earmarked their clash with Hull City on Sunday as a must-win.
The Baggies are five points clear of third-placed Brentford, but have already sustained two wobbles since the Championship restart, and will be eager to avoid another against a side who are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table.
That point will only have been hammered home by Hull picking up all three points against Middlesbrough last time out.
For large parts of that game, the Tigers were the poorer side, and yet they still managed to snatch the spoils.
Despite having an xG of just 0.87 and possession of just 46.31%, as per Wyscout, they managed to score twice.
Their shot map really emphasises just how unlikely the victory was too.
Of the shots pictured above, none of them have an xG of more than 0.37, while number seven has an xG of less than 0.1.
In short, this was a smash and grab – an example of a side who created very little and yet still managed to steal the points.
And that will be a worry for West Brom, who are not unaccustomed to dominating matches.
Even in their 1-0 defeat to Brentford, for example, they had a majority of possession and 10 shots on goal to the Bees’ six.
Interestingly, just one of those efforts came from inside the box, and even then, it was close.
That should make Albion wary too.
You would assume that Hull will look to sit in and defend where possible, and limiting West Brom to shots from distance would be an ideal scenario for them.
But Hull can also play at pace.
In each of their last four Championship fixtures they have had a higher match tempo index than their opponents.
Essentially, putting all of this together, it means that they are content to see less of the ball, hit teams fast, and take chances even when they are at a premium.
We should still win this one, but the Baggies have to be careful not to get stung.
In other West Brom news, Kevin Phillips has explained why this one Baggies star has been recently dropped by Bilic