Credit: Imago/Championship/League One on X
Credit: Imago/Championship/League One on X

West Brom's survival chances shift in latest supercomputer prediction after Championship drama

Cameron Smith

Correspondent AUTHORITY Sports journalist with experience at Football League World, Bulinews.com, and VAVEL; Birmingham City University graduate. FOCUS Statistical analysis, data deep-dives, and tactical coverage across the Breaking Media network. THE INSIGHT Cameron utilises data and a network of club contacts to deliver verified, stat-driven insight. He provides the analytical foundations behind the headlines to ensure fans understand the numbers shaping their club.

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West Bromwich Albion's chances of survival have shifted once again following the weekend's Championship fixtures.

The Baggies played out a 0-0 draw with promotion-chasers Millwall on Friday, with James Morrison's side extending their unbeaten run to seven matches.

Since falling to a 2-1 defeat against Oxford in his first match at the helm, the former midfielder has overseen a sensational turnaround at The Hawthorns - seeing Albion forge a gap to the drop zone.

Oxford, Portsmouth and Leicester had the chance to respond to Friday's goalless draw in the Black Country, and while the first two secured big wins, the Foxes fell to a 1-0 defeat against Swansea.

Leicester sit 23rd in the standings, five points behind the Baggies in 20th, though the gap between the relegation zone and West Brom now sits at just two points thanks to Oxford's 2-0 win against Watford.

What is the lates West Brom relegation prediction?

With one of the spots already taken by Sheffield Wednesday, Albion are among five sides battling to avoid the remaining two spots in the drop zone.

Morrison's work has seen the Black Country outfit shift away from this across recent weeks, though results this weekend have seen the gap cut.

ChampionshipPredicted finishPredicted pointsRelegation chances
Blackburn Rovers19th5110.24%
West Brom20th5125.5%
Portsmouth21st5131.26%
Oxford United22nd4952.46%
Leicester City23rd4685.3%
Sheffield Wednesday24th0100%
Opta’s predicted Championship League table

Despite the unbeaten run being extended, the Baggies are winless since the eve of the international break, when they beat Bristol City 1-0 at Ashton Gate.

Now, after three successive draws against Wrexham, Blackburn and Millwall, they have dropped from 19th to 20th in the predicted standings produced by Opta's supercomputer - with just a 25.5 per cent chance of relegation.

At the same time, Leicester have been handed a massive 85.5 per cent chance of dropping to League One, just a year after their relegation from the Premier League.

String of big results has saved West Brom's season

Since Morrison's arrival, the simple fact of the matter is that West Brom have looked a competent and competitive side.

They are no longer losing out in tighter matches, with the defence now much more solid, while the quality in the final third has been profiled correctly in the 4-4-2 system now used.

James Morrison graphic, outlining change in formation.
Credit: Imago/Breaking Media

During the six-match run, the Baggies have also picked up some huge results.

Taking points from matches against Southampton, Hull, Wrexham and Millwall, West Brom have proven capable of causing problems against multiple sides fighting for promotion.

This was specifically the case on Friday; not once did they look out of their depth, despite Millwall being labelled as firm favourites.

With four Championship outings remaining, the Baggies are well-placed to secure their spot in the division, and Morrison most certainly deserves his flowers.

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